Unlu Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.92

UNLU Stock   14.76  0.16  1.07%   
Unlu Yatirim's future price is the expected price of Unlu Yatirim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Unlu Yatirim Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Unlu Yatirim Backtesting, Unlu Yatirim Valuation, Unlu Yatirim Correlation, Unlu Yatirim Hype Analysis, Unlu Yatirim Volatility, Unlu Yatirim History as well as Unlu Yatirim Performance.
  
Please specify Unlu Yatirim's target price for which you would like Unlu Yatirim odds to be computed.

Unlu Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish below 15.92

The tendency of Unlu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  15.92  after 90 days
 14.76 90 days 15.92 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Unlu Yatirim to stay under  15.92  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Unlu Yatirim Holding probability density function shows the probability of Unlu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Unlu Yatirim Holding price to stay between its current price of  14.76  and  15.92  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Unlu Yatirim Holding has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Unlu Yatirim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Unlu Yatirim Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Unlu Yatirim Holding has an alpha of 0.1507, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Unlu Yatirim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Unlu Yatirim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unlu Yatirim Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7514.7616.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0912.1016.24
Details

Unlu Yatirim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Unlu Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Unlu Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Unlu Yatirim Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Unlu Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Unlu Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Unlu Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Unlu Yatirim Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Unlu Yatirim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Unlu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Unlu Yatirim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unlu Yatirim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding175 M

Unlu Yatirim Technical Analysis

Unlu Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Unlu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Unlu Yatirim Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Unlu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Unlu Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models

Unlu Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Unlu Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Unlu Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Unlu Yatirim Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Unlu Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Unlu Yatirim Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for Unlu Stock Analysis

When running Unlu Yatirim's price analysis, check to measure Unlu Yatirim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Unlu Yatirim is operating at the current time. Most of Unlu Yatirim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Unlu Yatirim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Unlu Yatirim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Unlu Yatirim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.