HNDA 47 12 JAN 28 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 99.27
| 02665WED9 | 100.19 0.59 0.59% |
02665WED9 |
02665WED9 Target Price Odds to finish below 99.27
The tendency of 02665WED9 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 99.27 or more in 90 days |
| 100.19 | 90 days | 99.27 | about 1.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 02665WED9 to drop to 99.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.26 (This HNDA 47 12 JAN 28 probability density function shows the probability of 02665WED9 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HNDA 47 12 price to stay between 99.27 and its current price of 100.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 02665WED9 has a beta of 0.0488. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 02665WED9 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HNDA 47 12 JAN 28 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HNDA 47 12 JAN 28 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 02665WED9 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 02665WED9
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HNDA 47 12. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.02665WED9 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 02665WED9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 02665WED9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HNDA 47 12 JAN 28, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 02665WED9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
02665WED9 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 02665WED9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HNDA 47 12 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HNDA 47 12 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
02665WED9 Technical Analysis
02665WED9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 02665WED9 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HNDA 47 12 JAN 28. In general, you should focus on analyzing 02665WED9 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
02665WED9 Predictive Forecast Models
02665WED9's time-series forecasting models is one of many 02665WED9's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 02665WED9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HNDA 47 12
Checking the ongoing alerts about 02665WED9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HNDA 47 12 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HNDA 47 12 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in 02665WED9 Bond
02665WED9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 02665WED9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 02665WED9 with respect to the benefits of owning 02665WED9 security.