BHI 6875 15 JAN 29 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 107.43

057224AK3   107.88  0.51  0.47%   
057224AK3's future price is the expected price of 057224AK3 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BHI 6875 15 JAN 29 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 057224AK3 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 057224AK3 Correlation, 057224AK3 Hype Analysis, 057224AK3 Volatility, 057224AK3 History as well as 057224AK3 Performance.
  
Please specify 057224AK3's target price for which you would like 057224AK3 odds to be computed.

057224AK3 Target Price Odds to finish over 107.43

The tendency of 057224AK3 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  107.43  in 90 days
 107.88 90 days 107.43 
about 90.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 057224AK3 to stay above  107.43  in 90 days from now is about 90.51 (This BHI 6875 15 JAN 29 probability density function shows the probability of 057224AK3 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BHI 6875 15 price to stay between  107.43  and its current price of 107.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BHI 6875 15 JAN 29 has a beta of -0.0455. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 057224AK3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BHI 6875 15 JAN 29 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BHI 6875 15 JAN 29 has an alpha of 0.0101, implying that it can generate a 0.0101 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   057224AK3 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 057224AK3

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BHI 6875 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
107.22107.88108.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.1287.78118.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 057224AK3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 057224AK3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 057224AK3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BHI 6875 15.

057224AK3 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 057224AK3 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 057224AK3's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BHI 6875 15 JAN 29, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 057224AK3 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

057224AK3 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 057224AK3 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BHI 6875 15 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BHI 6875 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

057224AK3 Technical Analysis

057224AK3's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 057224AK3 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BHI 6875 15 JAN 29. In general, you should focus on analyzing 057224AK3 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

057224AK3 Predictive Forecast Models

057224AK3's time-series forecasting models is one of many 057224AK3's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 057224AK3's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BHI 6875 15

Checking the ongoing alerts about 057224AK3 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BHI 6875 15 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BHI 6875 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 057224AK3 Bond

057224AK3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 057224AK3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 057224AK3 with respect to the benefits of owning 057224AK3 security.