BIIB 325 15 FEB 51 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 66.3

09062XAK9   67.69  0.60  0.88%   
09062XAK9's future price is the expected price of 09062XAK9 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BIIB 325 15 FEB 51 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 09062XAK9 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 09062XAK9 Correlation, 09062XAK9 Hype Analysis, 09062XAK9 Volatility, 09062XAK9 History as well as 09062XAK9 Performance.
  
Please specify 09062XAK9's target price for which you would like 09062XAK9 odds to be computed.

09062XAK9 Target Price Odds to finish over 66.3

The tendency of 09062XAK9 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  66.30  in 90 days
 67.69 90 days 66.30 
about 88.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 09062XAK9 to stay above  66.30  in 90 days from now is about 88.76 (This BIIB 325 15 FEB 51 probability density function shows the probability of 09062XAK9 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BIIB 325 15 price to stay between  66.30  and its current price of 67.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BIIB 325 15 FEB 51 has a beta of -0.0042. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 09062XAK9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BIIB 325 15 FEB 51 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BIIB 325 15 FEB 51 has an alpha of 0.0414, implying that it can generate a 0.0414 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   09062XAK9 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 09062XAK9

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BIIB 325 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.8367.6969.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.8856.7474.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.0065.8667.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.8368.6472.45
Details

09062XAK9 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 09062XAK9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 09062XAK9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BIIB 325 15 FEB 51, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 09062XAK9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0042
σ
Overall volatility
1.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

09062XAK9 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 09062XAK9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BIIB 325 15 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BIIB 325 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

09062XAK9 Technical Analysis

09062XAK9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 09062XAK9 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BIIB 325 15 FEB 51. In general, you should focus on analyzing 09062XAK9 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

09062XAK9 Predictive Forecast Models

09062XAK9's time-series forecasting models is one of many 09062XAK9's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 09062XAK9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BIIB 325 15

Checking the ongoing alerts about 09062XAK9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BIIB 325 15 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BIIB 325 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 09062XAK9 Bond

09062XAK9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 09062XAK9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 09062XAK9 with respect to the benefits of owning 09062XAK9 security.