FOX P Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 99.17

35137LAH8   97.35  2.67  2.67%   
35137LAH8's future price is the expected price of 35137LAH8 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FOX P performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 35137LAH8 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 35137LAH8 Correlation, 35137LAH8 Hype Analysis, 35137LAH8 Volatility, 35137LAH8 History as well as 35137LAH8 Performance.
  
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35137LAH8 Target Price Odds to finish over 99.17

The tendency of 35137LAH8 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  99.17  or more in 90 days
 97.35 90 days 99.17 
about 78.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 35137LAH8 to move over  99.17  or more in 90 days from now is about 78.63 (This FOX P probability density function shows the probability of 35137LAH8 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 35137LAH8 price to stay between its current price of  97.35  and  99.17  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FOX P has a beta of -0.0552. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 35137LAH8 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FOX P is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FOX P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   35137LAH8 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 35137LAH8

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 35137LAH8. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.9297.3597.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.9191.34107.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.2396.6597.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.9898.3699.73
Details

35137LAH8 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 35137LAH8 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 35137LAH8's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FOX P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 35137LAH8 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

35137LAH8 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 35137LAH8 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 35137LAH8 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
35137LAH8 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

35137LAH8 Technical Analysis

35137LAH8's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 35137LAH8 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FOX P. In general, you should focus on analyzing 35137LAH8 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

35137LAH8 Predictive Forecast Models

35137LAH8's time-series forecasting models is one of many 35137LAH8's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 35137LAH8's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 35137LAH8

Checking the ongoing alerts about 35137LAH8 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 35137LAH8 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
35137LAH8 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 35137LAH8 Bond

35137LAH8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 35137LAH8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 35137LAH8 with respect to the benefits of owning 35137LAH8 security.