LAM RESEARCH PORATION Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 98.31

512807AS7   97.65  1.45  1.46%   
512807AS7's future price is the expected price of 512807AS7 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LAM RESEARCH PORATION performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 512807AS7 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 512807AS7 Correlation, 512807AS7 Hype Analysis, 512807AS7 Volatility, 512807AS7 History as well as 512807AS7 Performance.
  
Please specify 512807AS7's target price for which you would like 512807AS7 odds to be computed.

512807AS7 Target Price Odds to finish below 98.31

The tendency of 512807AS7 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  98.31  after 90 days
 97.65 90 days 98.31 
about 16.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 512807AS7 to stay under  98.31  after 90 days from now is about 16.03 (This LAM RESEARCH PORATION probability density function shows the probability of 512807AS7 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LAM RESEARCH PORATION price to stay between its current price of  97.65  and  98.31  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LAM RESEARCH PORATION has a beta of -0.0053. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 512807AS7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LAM RESEARCH PORATION is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LAM RESEARCH PORATION has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   512807AS7 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 512807AS7

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LAM RESEARCH PORATION. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.4297.6597.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.5287.75107.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.7797.0097.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.1298.71100.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 512807AS7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 512807AS7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 512807AS7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LAM RESEARCH PORATION.

512807AS7 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 512807AS7 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 512807AS7's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LAM RESEARCH PORATION, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 512807AS7 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0053
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

512807AS7 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 512807AS7 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LAM RESEARCH PORATION can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
512807AS7 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

512807AS7 Technical Analysis

512807AS7's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 512807AS7 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LAM RESEARCH PORATION. In general, you should focus on analyzing 512807AS7 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

512807AS7 Predictive Forecast Models

512807AS7's time-series forecasting models is one of many 512807AS7's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 512807AS7's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LAM RESEARCH PORATION

Checking the ongoing alerts about 512807AS7 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LAM RESEARCH PORATION help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
512807AS7 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 512807AS7 Bond

512807AS7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 512807AS7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 512807AS7 with respect to the benefits of owning 512807AS7 security.