LENNAR P 5 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 99.28

526057CV4   99.93  0.13  0.13%   
LENNAR's future price is the expected price of LENNAR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LENNAR P 5 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LENNAR Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, LENNAR Correlation, LENNAR Hype Analysis, LENNAR Volatility, LENNAR History as well as LENNAR Performance.
For information on how to trade LENNAR Bond refer to our How to Trade LENNAR Bond guide.
  
Please specify LENNAR's target price for which you would like LENNAR odds to be computed.

LENNAR Target Price Odds to finish below 99.28

The tendency of LENNAR Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  99.28  or more in 90 days
 99.93 90 days 99.28 
about 11.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LENNAR to drop to  99.28  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.12 (This LENNAR P 5 probability density function shows the probability of LENNAR Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LENNAR P 5 price to stay between  99.28  and its current price of 99.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LENNAR P 5 has a beta of -0.3. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LENNAR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LENNAR P 5 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LENNAR P 5 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LENNAR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LENNAR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LENNAR P 5. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.4799.93100.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.94116.80117.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LENNAR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LENNAR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LENNAR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LENNAR P 5.

LENNAR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LENNAR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LENNAR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LENNAR P 5, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LENNAR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

LENNAR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LENNAR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LENNAR P 5 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LENNAR P 5 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

LENNAR Technical Analysis

LENNAR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LENNAR Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LENNAR P 5. In general, you should focus on analyzing LENNAR Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LENNAR Predictive Forecast Models

LENNAR's time-series forecasting models is one of many LENNAR's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LENNAR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LENNAR P 5

Checking the ongoing alerts about LENNAR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LENNAR P 5 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LENNAR P 5 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in LENNAR Bond

LENNAR financial ratios help investors to determine whether LENNAR Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LENNAR with respect to the benefits of owning LENNAR security.