LOCKHEED MARTIN P Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 96.44

539830AZ2   92.31  4.34  4.49%   
LOCKHEED's future price is the expected price of LOCKHEED instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LOCKHEED MARTIN P performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LOCKHEED Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, LOCKHEED Correlation, LOCKHEED Hype Analysis, LOCKHEED Volatility, LOCKHEED History as well as LOCKHEED Performance.
  
Please specify LOCKHEED's target price for which you would like LOCKHEED odds to be computed.

LOCKHEED Target Price Odds to finish below 96.44

The tendency of LOCKHEED Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  96.44  after 90 days
 92.31 90 days 96.44 
about 39.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LOCKHEED to stay under  96.44  after 90 days from now is about 39.98 (This LOCKHEED MARTIN P probability density function shows the probability of LOCKHEED Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LOCKHEED MARTIN P price to stay between its current price of  92.31  and  96.44  at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LOCKHEED MARTIN P has a beta of -0.0912. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LOCKHEED are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LOCKHEED MARTIN P is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LOCKHEED MARTIN P has an alpha of 0.0168, implying that it can generate a 0.0168 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   LOCKHEED Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LOCKHEED

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOCKHEED MARTIN P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.1292.3193.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.4178.60101.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.4691.6692.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.7295.58100.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LOCKHEED. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LOCKHEED's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LOCKHEED's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LOCKHEED MARTIN P.

LOCKHEED Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LOCKHEED is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LOCKHEED's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LOCKHEED MARTIN P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LOCKHEED within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
2.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

LOCKHEED Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LOCKHEED for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LOCKHEED MARTIN P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LOCKHEED MARTIN P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

LOCKHEED Technical Analysis

LOCKHEED's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LOCKHEED Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LOCKHEED MARTIN P. In general, you should focus on analyzing LOCKHEED Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LOCKHEED Predictive Forecast Models

LOCKHEED's time-series forecasting models is one of many LOCKHEED's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LOCKHEED's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LOCKHEED MARTIN P

Checking the ongoing alerts about LOCKHEED for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LOCKHEED MARTIN P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LOCKHEED MARTIN P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in LOCKHEED Bond

LOCKHEED financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOCKHEED Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOCKHEED with respect to the benefits of owning LOCKHEED security.