MDC Holdings 6 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 102.26
| 552676AQ1 | 101.21 3.07 2.94% |
552676AQ1 |
552676AQ1 Target Price Odds to finish below 102.26
The tendency of 552676AQ1 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 102.26 after 90 days |
| 101.21 | 90 days | 102.26 | about 46.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 552676AQ1 to stay under 102.26 after 90 days from now is about 46.96 (This MDC Holdings 6 probability density function shows the probability of 552676AQ1 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MDC Holdings 6 price to stay between its current price of 101.21 and 102.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MDC Holdings 6 has a beta of -0.68. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 552676AQ1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MDC Holdings 6 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MDC Holdings 6 has an alpha of 0.0748, implying that it can generate a 0.0748 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 552676AQ1 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 552676AQ1
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MDC Holdings 6. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.552676AQ1 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 552676AQ1 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 552676AQ1's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MDC Holdings 6, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 552676AQ1 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
552676AQ1 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 552676AQ1 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MDC Holdings 6 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MDC Holdings 6 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Traders Purchase High Volume of Call Options on Coca-Cola |
552676AQ1 Technical Analysis
552676AQ1's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 552676AQ1 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MDC Holdings 6. In general, you should focus on analyzing 552676AQ1 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
552676AQ1 Predictive Forecast Models
552676AQ1's time-series forecasting models is one of many 552676AQ1's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 552676AQ1's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MDC Holdings 6
Checking the ongoing alerts about 552676AQ1 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MDC Holdings 6 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MDC Holdings 6 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Traders Purchase High Volume of Call Options on Coca-Cola |
Other Information on Investing in 552676AQ1 Bond
552676AQ1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 552676AQ1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 552676AQ1 with respect to the benefits of owning 552676AQ1 security.