MOLSON RS BREWING Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 87.58

60871RAH3   82.57  0.17  0.21%   
MOLSON's future price is the expected price of MOLSON instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MOLSON RS BREWING performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MOLSON Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, MOLSON Correlation, MOLSON Hype Analysis, MOLSON Volatility, MOLSON History as well as MOLSON Performance.
  
Please specify MOLSON's target price for which you would like MOLSON odds to be computed.

MOLSON Target Price Odds to finish over 87.58

The tendency of MOLSON Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  87.58  or more in 90 days
 82.57 90 days 87.58 
nearly 4.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MOLSON to move over  87.58  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.14 (This MOLSON RS BREWING probability density function shows the probability of MOLSON Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MOLSON RS BREWING price to stay between its current price of  82.57  and  87.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MOLSON RS BREWING has a beta of -0.0183. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MOLSON are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MOLSON RS BREWING is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MOLSON RS BREWING has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MOLSON Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MOLSON

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MOLSON RS BREWING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.6182.5783.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.3982.3583.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
78.1879.1480.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.6282.7686.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MOLSON. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MOLSON's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MOLSON's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MOLSON RS BREWING.

MOLSON Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MOLSON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MOLSON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MOLSON RS BREWING, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MOLSON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

MOLSON Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MOLSON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MOLSON RS BREWING can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MOLSON RS BREWING generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

MOLSON Technical Analysis

MOLSON's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MOLSON Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MOLSON RS BREWING. In general, you should focus on analyzing MOLSON Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MOLSON Predictive Forecast Models

MOLSON's time-series forecasting models is one of many MOLSON's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MOLSON's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MOLSON RS BREWING

Checking the ongoing alerts about MOLSON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MOLSON RS BREWING help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MOLSON RS BREWING generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in MOLSON Bond

MOLSON financial ratios help investors to determine whether MOLSON Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MOLSON with respect to the benefits of owning MOLSON security.