NAB 1887 12 JAN 27 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 94.12
| 6325C0EB3 | 95.07 0.00 0.00% |
6325C0EB3 |
6325C0EB3 Target Price Odds to finish over 94.12
The tendency of 6325C0EB3 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 94.12 in 90 days |
| 95.07 | 90 days | 94.12 | about 30.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 6325C0EB3 to stay above 94.12 in 90 days from now is about 30.98 (This NAB 1887 12 JAN 27 probability density function shows the probability of 6325C0EB3 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NAB 1887 12 price to stay between 94.12 and its current price of 95.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NAB 1887 12 JAN 27 has a beta of -0.0155. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 6325C0EB3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NAB 1887 12 JAN 27 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NAB 1887 12 JAN 27 has an alpha of 0.0284, implying that it can generate a 0.0284 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 6325C0EB3 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 6325C0EB3
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NAB 1887 12. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.6325C0EB3 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 6325C0EB3 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 6325C0EB3's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NAB 1887 12 JAN 27, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 6325C0EB3 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
6325C0EB3 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 6325C0EB3 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NAB 1887 12 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NAB 1887 12 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
6325C0EB3 Technical Analysis
6325C0EB3's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 6325C0EB3 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NAB 1887 12 JAN 27. In general, you should focus on analyzing 6325C0EB3 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
6325C0EB3 Predictive Forecast Models
6325C0EB3's time-series forecasting models is one of many 6325C0EB3's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 6325C0EB3's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NAB 1887 12
Checking the ongoing alerts about 6325C0EB3 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NAB 1887 12 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NAB 1887 12 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in 6325C0EB3 Bond
6325C0EB3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 6325C0EB3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 6325C0EB3 with respect to the benefits of owning 6325C0EB3 security.