Norfolk Southern Corp Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 77.29

655844BV9   77.29  0.95  1.21%   
Norfolk's future price is the expected price of Norfolk instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Norfolk Southern Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Norfolk Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Norfolk Correlation, Norfolk Hype Analysis, Norfolk Volatility, Norfolk History as well as Norfolk Performance.
  
Please specify Norfolk's target price for which you would like Norfolk odds to be computed.

Norfolk Target Price Odds to finish below 77.29

The tendency of Norfolk Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 77.29 90 days 77.29 
roughly 2.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Norfolk to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.12 (This Norfolk Southern Corp probability density function shows the probability of Norfolk Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Norfolk has a beta of 0.1. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Norfolk average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Norfolk Southern Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Norfolk Southern Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Norfolk Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Norfolk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Norfolk Southern Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.8277.2978.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.5679.1980.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.1175.5877.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.1678.2480.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Norfolk. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Norfolk's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Norfolk's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Norfolk Southern Corp.

Norfolk Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Norfolk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Norfolk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Norfolk Southern Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Norfolk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
2.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Norfolk Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Norfolk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Norfolk Southern Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Norfolk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Norfolk Technical Analysis

Norfolk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Norfolk Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Norfolk Southern Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Norfolk Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Norfolk Predictive Forecast Models

Norfolk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Norfolk's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Norfolk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Norfolk Southern Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Norfolk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Norfolk Southern Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Norfolk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Norfolk Bond

Norfolk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Norfolk Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Norfolk with respect to the benefits of owning Norfolk security.