ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 94.92

68233JBH6   94.92  2.22  2.29%   
ONCOR's future price is the expected price of ONCOR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ONCOR Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ONCOR Correlation, ONCOR Hype Analysis, ONCOR Volatility, ONCOR History as well as ONCOR Performance.
  
Please specify ONCOR's target price for which you would like ONCOR odds to be computed.

ONCOR Target Price Odds to finish below 94.92

The tendency of ONCOR Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 94.92 90 days 94.92 
about 7.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ONCOR to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 7.29 (This ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY probability density function shows the probability of ONCOR Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ONCOR has a beta of 0.0776. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, ONCOR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ONCOR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ONCOR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.5394.9295.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.0490.43104.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.8695.2595.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.3896.1098.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ONCOR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ONCOR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ONCOR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY.

ONCOR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ONCOR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ONCOR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ONCOR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

ONCOR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ONCOR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ONCOR Technical Analysis

ONCOR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ONCOR Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY. In general, you should focus on analyzing ONCOR Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ONCOR Predictive Forecast Models

ONCOR's time-series forecasting models is one of many ONCOR's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ONCOR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY

Checking the ongoing alerts about ONCOR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ONCOR ELEC DELIVERY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ONCOR Bond

ONCOR financial ratios help investors to determine whether ONCOR Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ONCOR with respect to the benefits of owning ONCOR security.