PECO ENERGY 415 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 84.29
| 693304AS6 | 80.38 7.20 8.22% |
693304AS6 |
693304AS6 Target Price Odds to finish over 84.29
The tendency of 693304AS6 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 84.29 or more in 90 days |
| 80.38 | 90 days | 84.29 | about 66.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 693304AS6 to move over 84.29 or more in 90 days from now is about 66.9 (This PECO ENERGY 415 probability density function shows the probability of 693304AS6 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PECO ENERGY 415 price to stay between its current price of 80.38 and 84.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 693304AS6 has a beta of 0.26. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 693304AS6 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PECO ENERGY 415 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PECO ENERGY 415 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 693304AS6 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 693304AS6
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PECO ENERGY 415. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.693304AS6 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 693304AS6 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 693304AS6's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PECO ENERGY 415, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 693304AS6 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
693304AS6 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 693304AS6 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PECO ENERGY 415 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PECO ENERGY 415 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
693304AS6 Technical Analysis
693304AS6's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 693304AS6 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PECO ENERGY 415. In general, you should focus on analyzing 693304AS6 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
693304AS6 Predictive Forecast Models
693304AS6's time-series forecasting models is one of many 693304AS6's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 693304AS6's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PECO ENERGY 415
Checking the ongoing alerts about 693304AS6 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PECO ENERGY 415 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PECO ENERGY 415 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in 693304AS6 Bond
693304AS6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 693304AS6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 693304AS6 with respect to the benefits of owning 693304AS6 security.