PENSKE 57 01 FEB 28 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 101.04

709599BS2   100.79  0.00  0.00%   
PENSKE's future price is the expected price of PENSKE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PENSKE 57 01 FEB 28 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PENSKE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PENSKE Correlation, PENSKE Hype Analysis, PENSKE Volatility, PENSKE History as well as PENSKE Performance.
  
Please specify PENSKE's target price for which you would like PENSKE odds to be computed.

PENSKE Target Price Odds to finish over 101.04

The tendency of PENSKE Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  101.04  or more in 90 days
 100.79 90 days 101.04 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PENSKE to move over  101.04  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This PENSKE 57 01 FEB 28 probability density function shows the probability of PENSKE Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PENSKE 57 01 price to stay between its current price of  100.79  and  101.04  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PENSKE 57 01 FEB 28 has a beta of -0.0661. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PENSKE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PENSKE 57 01 FEB 28 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PENSKE 57 01 FEB 28 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PENSKE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PENSKE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PENSKE 57 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.48100.79101.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.3290.63110.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PENSKE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PENSKE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PENSKE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PENSKE 57 01.

PENSKE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PENSKE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PENSKE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PENSKE 57 01 FEB 28, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PENSKE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

PENSKE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PENSKE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PENSKE 57 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PENSKE 57 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

PENSKE Technical Analysis

PENSKE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PENSKE Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PENSKE 57 01 FEB 28. In general, you should focus on analyzing PENSKE Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PENSKE Predictive Forecast Models

PENSKE's time-series forecasting models is one of many PENSKE's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PENSKE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PENSKE 57 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about PENSKE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PENSKE 57 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PENSKE 57 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in PENSKE Bond

PENSKE financial ratios help investors to determine whether PENSKE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PENSKE with respect to the benefits of owning PENSKE security.