PHILIP MORRIS INTL Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 91.92

718172AM1   91.65  5.81  6.77%   
PHILIP's future price is the expected price of PHILIP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PHILIP MORRIS INTL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PHILIP Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PHILIP Correlation, PHILIP Hype Analysis, PHILIP Volatility, PHILIP History as well as PHILIP Performance.
  
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PHILIP Target Price Odds to finish over 91.92

The tendency of PHILIP Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  91.92  or more in 90 days
 91.65 90 days 91.92 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PHILIP to move over  91.92  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This PHILIP MORRIS INTL probability density function shows the probability of PHILIP Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PHILIP MORRIS INTL price to stay between its current price of  91.65  and  91.92  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PHILIP has a beta of 0.58. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, PHILIP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PHILIP MORRIS INTL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PHILIP MORRIS INTL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PHILIP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PHILIP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PHILIP MORRIS INTL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.1878.86100.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.0590.7392.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PHILIP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PHILIP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PHILIP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PHILIP MORRIS INTL.

PHILIP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PHILIP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PHILIP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PHILIP MORRIS INTL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PHILIP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

PHILIP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PHILIP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PHILIP MORRIS INTL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PHILIP MORRIS INTL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from theverge.com: Disposition of 600 shares by Otoole Amie Thuener of Alphabet at 195.8367 subject to Rule 16b-3

PHILIP Technical Analysis

PHILIP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PHILIP Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PHILIP MORRIS INTL. In general, you should focus on analyzing PHILIP Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PHILIP Predictive Forecast Models

PHILIP's time-series forecasting models is one of many PHILIP's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PHILIP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PHILIP MORRIS INTL

Checking the ongoing alerts about PHILIP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PHILIP MORRIS INTL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PHILIP MORRIS INTL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from theverge.com: Disposition of 600 shares by Otoole Amie Thuener of Alphabet at 195.8367 subject to Rule 16b-3

Other Information on Investing in PHILIP Bond

PHILIP financial ratios help investors to determine whether PHILIP Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PHILIP with respect to the benefits of owning PHILIP security.