POTOMAC ELEC PWR Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 115.23

737679DB3   113.49  0.78  0.69%   
POTOMAC's future price is the expected price of POTOMAC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of POTOMAC ELEC PWR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out POTOMAC Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, POTOMAC Correlation, POTOMAC Hype Analysis, POTOMAC Volatility, POTOMAC History as well as POTOMAC Performance.
  
Please specify POTOMAC's target price for which you would like POTOMAC odds to be computed.

POTOMAC Target Price Odds to finish over 115.23

The tendency of POTOMAC Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  115.23  or more in 90 days
 113.49 90 days 115.23 
about 39.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POTOMAC to move over  115.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 39.01 (This POTOMAC ELEC PWR probability density function shows the probability of POTOMAC Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of POTOMAC ELEC PWR price to stay between its current price of  113.49  and  115.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon POTOMAC has a beta of 0.0239. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, POTOMAC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding POTOMAC ELEC PWR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally POTOMAC ELEC PWR has an alpha of 0.0059, implying that it can generate a 0.005914 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   POTOMAC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for POTOMAC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POTOMAC ELEC PWR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
112.57113.49114.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.20114.12115.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
112.59113.51114.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
109.74111.79113.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as POTOMAC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against POTOMAC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, POTOMAC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in POTOMAC ELEC PWR.

POTOMAC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POTOMAC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POTOMAC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POTOMAC ELEC PWR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POTOMAC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

POTOMAC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POTOMAC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for POTOMAC ELEC PWR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POTOMAC ELEC PWR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

POTOMAC Technical Analysis

POTOMAC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POTOMAC Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POTOMAC ELEC PWR. In general, you should focus on analyzing POTOMAC Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

POTOMAC Predictive Forecast Models

POTOMAC's time-series forecasting models is one of many POTOMAC's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POTOMAC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about POTOMAC ELEC PWR

Checking the ongoing alerts about POTOMAC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for POTOMAC ELEC PWR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POTOMAC ELEC PWR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in POTOMAC Bond

POTOMAC financial ratios help investors to determine whether POTOMAC Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POTOMAC with respect to the benefits of owning POTOMAC security.