SANUK 6534 10 JAN 29 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 103.85

80281LAT2   101.32  2.40  2.31%   
SANUK's future price is the expected price of SANUK instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SANUK 6534 10 JAN 29 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SANUK Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SANUK Correlation, SANUK Hype Analysis, SANUK Volatility, SANUK History as well as SANUK Performance.
  
Please specify SANUK's target price for which you would like SANUK odds to be computed.

SANUK Target Price Odds to finish over 103.85

The tendency of SANUK Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  103.85  or more in 90 days
 101.32 90 days 103.85 
about 86.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SANUK to move over  103.85  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.91 (This SANUK 6534 10 JAN 29 probability density function shows the probability of SANUK Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SANUK 6534 10 price to stay between its current price of  101.32  and  103.85  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SANUK has a beta of 0.0282. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SANUK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SANUK 6534 10 JAN 29 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SANUK 6534 10 JAN 29 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SANUK Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SANUK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SANUK 6534 10. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.95101.32101.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.1097.47111.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.94100.32100.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.44103.91105.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SANUK. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SANUK's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SANUK's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SANUK 6534 10.

SANUK Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SANUK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SANUK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SANUK 6534 10 JAN 29, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SANUK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.43

SANUK Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SANUK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SANUK 6534 10 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SANUK 6534 10 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SANUK Technical Analysis

SANUK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SANUK Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SANUK 6534 10 JAN 29. In general, you should focus on analyzing SANUK Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SANUK Predictive Forecast Models

SANUK's time-series forecasting models is one of many SANUK's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SANUK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SANUK 6534 10

Checking the ongoing alerts about SANUK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SANUK 6534 10 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SANUK 6534 10 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SANUK Bond

SANUK financial ratios help investors to determine whether SANUK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SANUK with respect to the benefits of owning SANUK security.