SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 93.77

80282KAZ9   97.01  0.01  0.01%   
SANTANDER's future price is the expected price of SANTANDER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SANTANDER Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SANTANDER Correlation, SANTANDER Hype Analysis, SANTANDER Volatility, SANTANDER History as well as SANTANDER Performance.
  
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SANTANDER Target Price Odds to finish over 93.77

The tendency of SANTANDER Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  93.77  in 90 days
 97.01 90 days 93.77 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SANTANDER to stay above  93.77  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA probability density function shows the probability of SANTANDER Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA price to stay between  93.77  and its current price of 97.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SANTANDER has a beta of 0.11. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SANTANDER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SANTANDER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SANTANDER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.4897.0197.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.4595.98106.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SANTANDER. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SANTANDER's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SANTANDER's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA.

SANTANDER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SANTANDER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SANTANDER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SANTANDER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

SANTANDER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SANTANDER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SANTANDER generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SANTANDER Technical Analysis

SANTANDER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SANTANDER Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA. In general, you should focus on analyzing SANTANDER Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SANTANDER Predictive Forecast Models

SANTANDER's time-series forecasting models is one of many SANTANDER's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SANTANDER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA

Checking the ongoing alerts about SANTANDER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SANTANDER HOLDINGS USA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SANTANDER generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SANTANDER Bond

SANTANDER financial ratios help investors to determine whether SANTANDER Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SANTANDER with respect to the benefits of owning SANTANDER security.