UAL 31 07 OCT 28 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 91.28
| 90932DAA3 | 89.45 1.55 1.70% |
90932DAA3 |
90932DAA3 Target Price Odds to finish below 91.28
The tendency of 90932DAA3 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 91.28 after 90 days |
| 89.45 | 90 days | 91.28 | about 86.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 90932DAA3 to stay under 91.28 after 90 days from now is about 86.93 (This UAL 31 07 OCT 28 probability density function shows the probability of 90932DAA3 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UAL 31 07 price to stay between its current price of 89.45 and 91.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UAL 31 07 OCT 28 has a beta of -0.1. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 90932DAA3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, UAL 31 07 OCT 28 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally UAL 31 07 OCT 28 has an alpha of 0.0934, implying that it can generate a 0.0934 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 90932DAA3 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 90932DAA3
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UAL 31 07. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.90932DAA3 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 90932DAA3 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 90932DAA3's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UAL 31 07 OCT 28, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 90932DAA3 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
90932DAA3 Technical Analysis
90932DAA3's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 90932DAA3 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UAL 31 07 OCT 28. In general, you should focus on analyzing 90932DAA3 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
90932DAA3 Predictive Forecast Models
90932DAA3's time-series forecasting models is one of many 90932DAA3's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 90932DAA3's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 90932DAA3 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 90932DAA3's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 90932DAA3 options trading.
Other Information on Investing in 90932DAA3 Bond
90932DAA3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 90932DAA3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 90932DAA3 with respect to the benefits of owning 90932DAA3 security.