WASHINGTON GAS LT Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 77.95
| 93884PDW7 | 78.74 0.20 0.25% |
WASHINGTON |
WASHINGTON Target Price Odds to finish over 77.95
The tendency of WASHINGTON Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 77.95 in 90 days |
| 78.74 | 90 days | 77.95 | about 28.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WASHINGTON to stay above 77.95 in 90 days from now is about 28.68 (This WASHINGTON GAS LT probability density function shows the probability of WASHINGTON Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WASHINGTON GAS LT price to stay between 77.95 and its current price of 78.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WASHINGTON GAS LT has a beta of -0.15. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding WASHINGTON are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, WASHINGTON GAS LT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally WASHINGTON GAS LT has an alpha of 0.2438, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). WASHINGTON Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for WASHINGTON
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WASHINGTON GAS LT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.WASHINGTON Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WASHINGTON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WASHINGTON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WASHINGTON GAS LT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WASHINGTON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
WASHINGTON Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WASHINGTON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WASHINGTON GAS LT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| WASHINGTON GAS LT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
WASHINGTON Technical Analysis
WASHINGTON's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WASHINGTON Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WASHINGTON GAS LT. In general, you should focus on analyzing WASHINGTON Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
WASHINGTON Predictive Forecast Models
WASHINGTON's time-series forecasting models is one of many WASHINGTON's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WASHINGTON's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about WASHINGTON GAS LT
Checking the ongoing alerts about WASHINGTON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WASHINGTON GAS LT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| WASHINGTON GAS LT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in WASHINGTON Bond
WASHINGTON financial ratios help investors to determine whether WASHINGTON Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WASHINGTON with respect to the benefits of owning WASHINGTON security.