Us Foods Holding Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 65.56
| USFD Stock | USD 69.97 0.44 0.63% |
USFD |
US Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 65.56
The tendency of USFD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 65.56 in 90 days |
| 69.97 | 90 days | 65.56 | about 32.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of US Foods to stay above $ 65.56 in 90 days from now is about 32.87 (This US Foods Holding probability density function shows the probability of USFD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of US Foods Holding price to stay between $ 65.56 and its current price of $69.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Foods has a beta of 0.98. This usually implies US Foods Holding market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, US Foods is expected to follow. Additionally US Foods Holding has an alpha of 0.1952, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). US Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for US Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Foods Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.US Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. US Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the US Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US Foods Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of US Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
US Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of US Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for US Foods Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: United Natural to Come Up With Q1 Earnings What You Should Know |
US Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of USFD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential US Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 250 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 269 M |
US Foods Technical Analysis
US Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USFD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of US Foods Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing USFD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
US Foods Predictive Forecast Models
US Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many US Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary US Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about US Foods Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about US Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for US Foods Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: United Natural to Come Up With Q1 Earnings What You Should Know |
Check out US Foods Backtesting, US Foods Valuation, US Foods Correlation, US Foods Hype Analysis, US Foods Volatility, US Foods History as well as US Foods Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of US Foods. If investors know USFD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about US Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.605 | Earnings Share 2.33 | Revenue Per Share 152.802 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.068 | Return On Assets 0.0521 |
The market value of US Foods Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USFD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of US Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is US Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because US Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect US Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.