Energy Fuels Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.63
| UUUU Stock | USD 5.40 0.10 1.89% |
Energy |
Energy Fuels Target Price Odds to finish over 17.63
The tendency of Energy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.63 or more in 90 days |
| 5.40 | 90 days | 17.63 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Energy Fuels to move over $ 17.63 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Energy Fuels probability density function shows the probability of Energy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Energy Fuels price to stay between its current price of $ 5.40 and $ 17.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Energy Fuels will likely underperform. Additionally Energy Fuels has an alpha of 0.056, implying that it can generate a 0.056 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Energy Fuels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Energy Fuels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Energy Fuels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Energy Fuels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Energy Fuels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Energy Fuels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Energy Fuels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Energy Fuels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Energy Fuels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Energy Fuels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Energy Fuels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Energy Fuels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Energy Fuels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Energy Fuels currently holds about 98.16 M in cash with (15.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.62. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Director Alex Morrison Sells 17,500 Shares of Energy Fuels Inc |
Energy Fuels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Energy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Energy Fuels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Energy Fuels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 190.5 M |
Energy Fuels Technical Analysis
Energy Fuels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Energy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Energy Fuels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Energy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Energy Fuels Predictive Forecast Models
Energy Fuels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Energy Fuels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Energy Fuels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Energy Fuels
Checking the ongoing alerts about Energy Fuels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Energy Fuels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Energy Fuels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Energy Fuels currently holds about 98.16 M in cash with (15.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.62. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Director Alex Morrison Sells 17,500 Shares of Energy Fuels Inc |
Additional Tools for Energy Stock Analysis
When running Energy Fuels' price analysis, check to measure Energy Fuels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Energy Fuels is operating at the current time. Most of Energy Fuels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Energy Fuels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Energy Fuels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Energy Fuels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.