Uwm Holdings Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.65
| UWMC Stock | USD 5.88 0.23 4.07% |
UWM |
UWM Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 5.65
The tendency of UWM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.65 or more in 90 days |
| 5.88 | 90 days | 5.65 | about 10.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UWM Holdings to drop to $ 5.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.24 (This UWM Holdings Corp probability density function shows the probability of UWM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UWM Holdings Corp price to stay between $ 5.65 and its current price of $5.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days UWM Holdings has a beta of 0.89. This usually implies UWM Holdings Corp market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, UWM Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally UWM Holdings Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. UWM Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for UWM Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UWM Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UWM Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UWM Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UWM Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UWM Holdings Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UWM Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
UWM Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UWM Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UWM Holdings Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| UWM Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| UWM Holdings Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (13.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.09 B. | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: UWM Reaches New 12-Month Low Should You Sell |
UWM Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UWM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UWM Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UWM Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 497.5 M |
UWM Holdings Technical Analysis
UWM Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UWM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UWM Holdings Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing UWM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UWM Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
UWM Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many UWM Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UWM Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UWM Holdings Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about UWM Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UWM Holdings Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| UWM Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| UWM Holdings Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (13.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.09 B. | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: UWM Reaches New 12-Month Low Should You Sell |
Check out UWM Holdings Backtesting, UWM Holdings Valuation, UWM Holdings Correlation, UWM Holdings Hype Analysis, UWM Holdings Volatility, UWM Holdings History as well as UWM Holdings Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UWM Holdings. If investors know UWM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UWM Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share (0.23) | Revenue Per Share 28.467 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.665 |
The market value of UWM Holdings Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UWM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UWM Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UWM Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UWM Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UWM Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UWM Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UWM Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UWM Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.