Uzinexport (Romania) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.53
| UZIN Stock | 0.48 0.15 23.81% |
Uzinexport |
Uzinexport Target Price Odds to finish below 0.53
The tendency of Uzinexport Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.53 after 90 days |
| 0.48 | 90 days | 0.53 | about 20.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Uzinexport to stay under 0.53 after 90 days from now is about 20.42 (This Uzinexport SA probability density function shows the probability of Uzinexport Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Uzinexport SA price to stay between its current price of 0.48 and 0.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Uzinexport SA has a beta of -0.54. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Uzinexport are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Uzinexport SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Uzinexport SA has an alpha of 0.0052, implying that it can generate a 0.00518 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Uzinexport Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Uzinexport
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Uzinexport SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Uzinexport Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Uzinexport is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Uzinexport's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Uzinexport SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Uzinexport within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Uzinexport Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Uzinexport for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Uzinexport SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Uzinexport SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Uzinexport SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Uzinexport SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Uzinexport Technical Analysis
Uzinexport's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Uzinexport Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Uzinexport SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Uzinexport Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Uzinexport Predictive Forecast Models
Uzinexport's time-series forecasting models is one of many Uzinexport's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Uzinexport's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Uzinexport SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Uzinexport for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Uzinexport SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Uzinexport SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Uzinexport SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Uzinexport SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in Uzinexport Stock
Uzinexport financial ratios help investors to determine whether Uzinexport Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Uzinexport with respect to the benefits of owning Uzinexport security.