V2 Retail (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1271.01

V2RETAIL   1,355  30.40  2.29%   
V2 Retail's future price is the expected price of V2 Retail instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of V2 Retail Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out V2 Retail Backtesting, V2 Retail Valuation, V2 Retail Correlation, V2 Retail Hype Analysis, V2 Retail Volatility, V2 Retail History as well as V2 Retail Performance.
  
Please specify V2 Retail's target price for which you would like V2 Retail odds to be computed.

V2 Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 1271.01

The tendency of V2RETAIL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1,271  or more in 90 days
 1,355 90 days 1,271 
about 66.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of V2 Retail to drop to  1,271  or more in 90 days from now is about 66.06 (This V2 Retail Limited probability density function shows the probability of V2RETAIL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of V2 Retail Limited price to stay between  1,271  and its current price of 1355.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon V2 Retail has a beta of 0.68. This entails as returns on the market go up, V2 Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding V2 Retail Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally V2 Retail Limited has an alpha of 0.1472, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   V2 Retail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for V2 Retail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as V2 Retail Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of V2 Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3341,3371,491
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0891,0921,491
Details

V2 Retail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. V2 Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the V2 Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold V2 Retail Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of V2 Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
111.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

V2 Retail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of V2 Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for V2 Retail Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
V2 Retail Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

V2 Retail Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of V2RETAIL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential V2 Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. V2 Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments94.5 M

V2 Retail Technical Analysis

V2 Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. V2RETAIL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of V2 Retail Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing V2RETAIL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

V2 Retail Predictive Forecast Models

V2 Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many V2 Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary V2 Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about V2 Retail Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about V2 Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for V2 Retail Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
V2 Retail Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in V2RETAIL Stock

V2 Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether V2RETAIL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in V2RETAIL with respect to the benefits of owning V2 Retail security.