Vastned Retail (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.80
| VASTN Stock | EUR 21.40 0.70 3.38% |
Vastned |
Vastned Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 18.80
The tendency of Vastned Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 18.80 or more in 90 days |
| 21.40 | 90 days | 18.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vastned Retail to drop to € 18.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vastned Retail NV probability density function shows the probability of Vastned Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vastned Retail NV price to stay between € 18.80 and its current price of €21.4 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vastned Retail has a beta of 0.0179. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vastned Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vastned Retail NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vastned Retail NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vastned Retail Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vastned Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vastned Retail NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vastned Retail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vastned Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vastned Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vastned Retail NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vastned Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Vastned Retail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vastned Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vastned Retail NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vastned Retail NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vastned Retail NV has accumulated 612.95 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vastned Retail NV has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vastned Retail until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vastned Retail's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vastned Retail NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vastned to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vastned Retail's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 30.0% of Vastned Retail outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Vastned Retail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vastned Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vastned Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vastned Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.2 M |
Vastned Retail Technical Analysis
Vastned Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vastned Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vastned Retail NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vastned Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vastned Retail Predictive Forecast Models
Vastned Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vastned Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vastned Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vastned Retail NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vastned Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vastned Retail NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vastned Retail NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vastned Retail NV has accumulated 612.95 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vastned Retail NV has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vastned Retail until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vastned Retail's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vastned Retail NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vastned to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vastned Retail's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 30.0% of Vastned Retail outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Vastned Stock
Vastned Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vastned Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vastned with respect to the benefits of owning Vastned Retail security.