Vcrm Etf Chance of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 76.01
| VCRM Etf | 74.42 0.02 0.03% |
VCRM |
VCRM Target Price Odds to finish below 76.01
The tendency of VCRM Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 76.01 after 90 days |
| 74.42 | 90 days | 76.01 | about 82.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VCRM to stay under 76.01 after 90 days from now is about 82.58 (This VCRM probability density function shows the probability of VCRM Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VCRM price to stay between its current price of 74.42 and 76.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VCRM has a beta of 0.0068. This entails as returns on the market go up, VCRM average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VCRM will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VCRM has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VCRM Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VCRM
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VCRM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VCRM Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VCRM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VCRM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VCRM, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VCRM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
VCRM Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VCRM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VCRM can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VCRM generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Vanguard Core Tax-Exempt Bond ETF declares 0.3004 dividend |
VCRM Technical Analysis
VCRM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VCRM Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VCRM. In general, you should focus on analyzing VCRM Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VCRM Predictive Forecast Models
VCRM's time-series forecasting models is one of many VCRM's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VCRM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VCRM
Checking the ongoing alerts about VCRM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VCRM help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VCRM generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Vanguard Core Tax-Exempt Bond ETF declares 0.3004 dividend |
Check out VCRM Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VCRM Correlation, VCRM Hype Analysis, VCRM Volatility, VCRM History as well as VCRM Performance. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
The market value of VCRM is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VCRM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VCRM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VCRM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VCRM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VCRM's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VCRM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VCRM is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VCRM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.