Vela International Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.71
| VEITX Fund | USD 13.61 0.05 0.37% |
Vela |
Vela International Target Price Odds to finish over 13.71
The tendency of Vela Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.71 or more in 90 days |
| 13.61 | 90 days | 13.71 | about 57.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vela International to move over $ 13.71 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.62 (This Vela International probability density function shows the probability of Vela Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vela International price to stay between its current price of $ 13.61 and $ 13.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vela International has a beta of 0.13. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vela International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vela International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vela International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vela International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vela International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vela International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vela International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vela International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vela International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vela International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vela International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vela International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Vela International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vela International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vela International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vela International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps about 13.37% of its net assets in cash |
Vela International Technical Analysis
Vela International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vela Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vela International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vela Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vela International Predictive Forecast Models
Vela International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vela International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vela International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vela International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vela International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vela International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vela International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps about 13.37% of its net assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Vela Mutual Fund
Vela International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vela Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vela with respect to the benefits of owning Vela International security.
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