VERBUND AG (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 74.04
| VER Stock | EUR 75.85 0.40 0.53% |
VERBUND |
VERBUND AG Target Price Odds to finish below 74.04
The tendency of VERBUND Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 74.04 or more in 90 days |
| 75.85 | 90 days | 74.04 | about 32.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VERBUND AG to drop to € 74.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 32.18 (This VERBUND AG probability density function shows the probability of VERBUND Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VERBUND AG price to stay between € 74.04 and its current price of €75.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VERBUND AG has a beta of -0.17. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VERBUND AG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VERBUND AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VERBUND AG has an alpha of 0.0124, implying that it can generate a 0.0124 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VERBUND AG Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VERBUND AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VERBUND AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VERBUND AG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VERBUND AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VERBUND AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VERBUND AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VERBUND AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
VERBUND AG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VERBUND AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VERBUND AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VERBUND AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VERBUND AG has accumulated 1.69 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 38.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. VERBUND AG has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist VERBUND AG until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, VERBUND AG's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like VERBUND AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for VERBUND to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about VERBUND AG's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
VERBUND AG Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VERBUND Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VERBUND AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VERBUND AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 347.4 M |
VERBUND AG Technical Analysis
VERBUND AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VERBUND Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VERBUND AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing VERBUND Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VERBUND AG Predictive Forecast Models
VERBUND AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many VERBUND AG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VERBUND AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VERBUND AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about VERBUND AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VERBUND AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VERBUND AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VERBUND AG has accumulated 1.69 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 38.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. VERBUND AG has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist VERBUND AG until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, VERBUND AG's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like VERBUND AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for VERBUND to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about VERBUND AG's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in VERBUND Stock
VERBUND AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether VERBUND Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VERBUND with respect to the benefits of owning VERBUND AG security.