Veranda Learning (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 249.09

VERANDA Stock   263.73  7.48  2.76%   
Veranda Learning's future price is the expected price of Veranda Learning instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Veranda Learning Solutions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Veranda Learning Backtesting, Veranda Learning Valuation, Veranda Learning Correlation, Veranda Learning Hype Analysis, Veranda Learning Volatility, Veranda Learning History as well as Veranda Learning Performance.
  
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Veranda Learning Target Price Odds to finish below 249.09

The tendency of Veranda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  249.09  or more in 90 days
 263.73 90 days 249.09 
about 16.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Veranda Learning to drop to  249.09  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.71 (This Veranda Learning Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Veranda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Veranda Learning Sol price to stay between  249.09  and its current price of 263.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Veranda Learning has a beta of 0.38. This entails as returns on the market go up, Veranda Learning average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Veranda Learning Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Veranda Learning Solutions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Veranda Learning Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Veranda Learning

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Veranda Learning Sol. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
259.71262.36265.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
226.20228.85290.10
Details

Veranda Learning Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Veranda Learning is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Veranda Learning's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Veranda Learning Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Veranda Learning within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
30.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Veranda Learning Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Veranda Learning for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Veranda Learning Sol can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Veranda Learning Sol generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 3.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (797.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 973.05 M.
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Veranda Learning To Raise Up To Rs 250 Crore Through Preferential Issue - NDTV Profit

Veranda Learning Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Veranda Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Veranda Learning's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Veranda Learning's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments287.6 M

Veranda Learning Technical Analysis

Veranda Learning's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Veranda Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Veranda Learning Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Veranda Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Veranda Learning Predictive Forecast Models

Veranda Learning's time-series forecasting models is one of many Veranda Learning's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Veranda Learning's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Veranda Learning Sol

Checking the ongoing alerts about Veranda Learning for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Veranda Learning Sol help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Veranda Learning Sol generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 3.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (797.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 973.05 M.
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Veranda Learning To Raise Up To Rs 250 Crore Through Preferential Issue - NDTV Profit

Other Information on Investing in Veranda Stock

Veranda Learning financial ratios help investors to determine whether Veranda Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Veranda with respect to the benefits of owning Veranda Learning security.