Vestum AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.43
| VESTUM Stock | 10.96 0.86 8.51% |
Vestum |
Vestum AB Target Price Odds to finish over 16.43
The tendency of Vestum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 16.43 or more in 90 days |
| 10.96 | 90 days | 16.43 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vestum AB to move over 16.43 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Vestum AB probability density function shows the probability of Vestum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vestum AB price to stay between its current price of 10.96 and 16.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vestum AB has a beta of -0.24. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vestum AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vestum AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vestum AB has an alpha of 0.1343, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vestum AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vestum AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vestum AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vestum AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vestum AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vestum AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vestum AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vestum AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vestum AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0034 |
Vestum AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vestum AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vestum AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vestum AB generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Vestum AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vestum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vestum AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vestum AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 188.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Vestum AB Technical Analysis
Vestum AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vestum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vestum AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vestum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vestum AB Predictive Forecast Models
Vestum AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vestum AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vestum AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vestum AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vestum AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vestum AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vestum AB generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Vestum Stock
Vestum AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vestum Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vestum with respect to the benefits of owning Vestum AB security.