Vanguard Multifactor Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 139.12

VFMF Etf  USD 136.53  0.50  0.36%   
Vanguard Multifactor's future price is the expected price of Vanguard Multifactor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vanguard Multifactor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vanguard Multifactor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Multifactor Correlation, Vanguard Multifactor Hype Analysis, Vanguard Multifactor Volatility, Vanguard Multifactor History as well as Vanguard Multifactor Performance.
  
Please specify Vanguard Multifactor's target price for which you would like Vanguard Multifactor odds to be computed.

Vanguard Multifactor Target Price Odds to finish below 139.12

The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 139.12  after 90 days
 136.53 90 days 139.12 
about 89.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Multifactor to stay under $ 139.12  after 90 days from now is about 89.14 (This Vanguard Multifactor probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Multifactor price to stay between its current price of $ 136.53  and $ 139.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This entails Vanguard Multifactor market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Multifactor is expected to follow. Additionally Vanguard Multifactor has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vanguard Multifactor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Multifactor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Multifactor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
135.44136.38137.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
122.88141.49142.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
132.45133.39134.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
131.86137.60143.34
Details

Vanguard Multifactor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Multifactor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Multifactor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Multifactor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Multifactor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0035
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.14
σ
Overall volatility
4.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Vanguard Multifactor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Multifactor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Multifactor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 98.46% of its net assets in stocks

Vanguard Multifactor Technical Analysis

Vanguard Multifactor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Multifactor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vanguard Multifactor Predictive Forecast Models

Vanguard Multifactor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Multifactor's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Multifactor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vanguard Multifactor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Multifactor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Multifactor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 98.46% of its net assets in stocks
When determining whether Vanguard Multifactor is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vanguard Multifactor's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vanguard Multifactor's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vanguard Etf, refer to the following important reports:
The market value of Vanguard Multifactor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Multifactor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Multifactor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Multifactor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Multifactor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Multifactor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Multifactor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Multifactor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.