Invesco Trust For Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.17

VGM Stock  USD 10.49  0.06  0.58%   
Invesco Trust's future price is the expected price of Invesco Trust instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Trust For performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Trust Backtesting, Invesco Trust Valuation, Invesco Trust Correlation, Invesco Trust Hype Analysis, Invesco Trust Volatility, Invesco Trust History as well as Invesco Trust Performance.
  
At this time, Invesco Trust's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 11th of December 2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 1.01, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to drop (0.08). Please specify Invesco Trust's target price for which you would like Invesco Trust odds to be computed.

Invesco Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 10.17

The tendency of Invesco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.17  or more in 90 days
 10.49 90 days 10.17 
about 10.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Trust to drop to $ 10.17  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.17 (This Invesco Trust For probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Trust For price to stay between $ 10.17  and its current price of $10.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.6 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco Trust has a beta of 0.0091. This entails as returns on the market go up, Invesco Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Trust For will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Trust For has an alpha of 0.0035, implying that it can generate a 0.003537 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Trust For. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8910.4310.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8210.3710.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8710.4110.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0110.2510.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Trust. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Trust's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Trust's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco Trust For.

Invesco Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Trust For, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Invesco Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Trust For can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Trust For generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 29th of November 2024 Invesco Trust paid $ 0.0646 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Invesco Senior Income Trust Raises Monthly Dividend VLT Maintains Distribution - StockTitan

Invesco Trust Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 M

Invesco Trust Technical Analysis

Invesco Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Trust For. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Trust Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Trust For

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Trust For help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Trust For generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 29th of November 2024 Invesco Trust paid $ 0.0646 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Invesco Senior Income Trust Raises Monthly Dividend VLT Maintains Distribution - StockTitan
When determining whether Invesco Trust For offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Invesco Trust's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Invesco Trust For Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Invesco Trust For Stock:
Check out Invesco Trust Backtesting, Invesco Trust Valuation, Invesco Trust Correlation, Invesco Trust Hype Analysis, Invesco Trust Volatility, Invesco Trust History as well as Invesco Trust Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Invesco Trust. If investors know Invesco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Invesco Trust listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.675
Dividend Share
0.521
Earnings Share
0.98
Revenue Per Share
0.795
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Invesco Trust For is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.