Vivic Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 4.1
| VIVC Stock | USD 4.00 1.01 20.16% |
Vivic |
Vivic Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 4.1
The tendency of Vivic OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 4.10 after 90 days |
| 4.00 | 90 days | 4.10 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vivic Corp to stay under $ 4.10 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Vivic Corp probability density function shows the probability of Vivic OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vivic Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 4.00 and $ 4.10 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vivic Corp has a beta of 0.49. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vivic Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vivic Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Vivic Corp has an alpha of 1.2108, implying that it can generate a 1.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vivic Corp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Vivic Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vivic Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vivic Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vivic Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vivic Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vivic Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vivic Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vivic Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Vivic Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vivic Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vivic Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vivic Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Vivic Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Vivic Corp currently holds 87.5 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Vivic Corp has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Vivic Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vivic Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vivic Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vivic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vivic Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 244.19 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.56 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (122.66 K). | |
| Vivic Corp currently holds about 91.27 K in cash with (967.22 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of Vivic Corp outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Vivic Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vivic OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vivic Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vivic Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.6 M |
Vivic Corp Technical Analysis
Vivic Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vivic OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vivic Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vivic OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vivic Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Vivic Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vivic Corp's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vivic Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vivic Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vivic Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vivic Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vivic Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Vivic Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Vivic Corp currently holds 87.5 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Vivic Corp has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Vivic Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vivic Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vivic Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vivic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vivic Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 244.19 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.56 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (122.66 K). | |
| Vivic Corp currently holds about 91.27 K in cash with (967.22 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of Vivic Corp outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Vivic OTC Stock
Vivic Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vivic OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vivic with respect to the benefits of owning Vivic Corp security.