Virtus Multi Sector Short Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 4.41

VMSSX Fund  USD 4.56  0.01  0.22%   
Virtus Multi's future price is the expected price of Virtus Multi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Virtus Multi Sector Short performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Virtus Multi Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Virtus Multi Correlation, Virtus Multi Hype Analysis, Virtus Multi Volatility, Virtus Multi History as well as Virtus Multi Performance.
  
Please specify Virtus Multi's target price for which you would like Virtus Multi odds to be computed.

Virtus Multi Target Price Odds to finish over 4.41

The tendency of Virtus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 4.41  in 90 days
 4.56 90 days 4.41 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Virtus Multi to stay above $ 4.41  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Virtus Multi Sector Short probability density function shows the probability of Virtus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Virtus Multi Sector price to stay between $ 4.41  and its current price of $4.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Virtus Multi Sector Short has a beta of -0.0117. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Virtus Multi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Virtus Multi Sector Short is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Virtus Multi Sector Short has an alpha of 0.008, implying that it can generate a 0.007991 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Virtus Multi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Virtus Multi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus Multi Sector. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virtus Multi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.105.075.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.134.255.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.444.564.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.544.554.56
Details

Virtus Multi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Virtus Multi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Virtus Multi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Virtus Multi Sector Short, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Virtus Multi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.78

Virtus Multi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Virtus Multi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Virtus Multi Sector can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 8.51% of its net assets in bonds

Virtus Multi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Virtus Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Virtus Multi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Virtus Multi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Virtus Multi Technical Analysis

Virtus Multi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Virtus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Virtus Multi Sector Short. In general, you should focus on analyzing Virtus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Virtus Multi Predictive Forecast Models

Virtus Multi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Virtus Multi's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Virtus Multi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Virtus Multi Sector

Checking the ongoing alerts about Virtus Multi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Virtus Multi Sector help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 8.51% of its net assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Virtus Mutual Fund

Virtus Multi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Virtus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Virtus with respect to the benefits of owning Virtus Multi security.
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