Vanguard Global Ex Us Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 39.92
| VNQI Etf | USD 41.98 0.34 0.80% |
Vanguard |
Vanguard Global Target Price Odds to finish below 39.92
The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 39.92 or more in 90 days |
| 41.98 | 90 days | 39.92 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Global to drop to $ 39.92 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vanguard Global ex US probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Global ex price to stay between $ 39.92 and its current price of $41.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vanguard Global has a beta of 0.21. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Global ex US will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Global ex US has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vanguard Global Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Vanguard Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Global ex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vanguard Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Global ex US, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Vanguard Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Global ex can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vanguard Global ex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate Breaks Below 200-Day Moving Average - Notable for VNQI - Nasdaq | |
| Vanguard Global ex created five year return of -4.0% | |
| This fund keeps 95.55% of its net assets in stocks |
Vanguard Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vanguard Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanguard Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanguard Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Vanguard Global Technical Analysis
Vanguard Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Global ex US. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard Global Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Global's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard Global ex
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Global ex help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vanguard Global ex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate Breaks Below 200-Day Moving Average - Notable for VNQI - Nasdaq | |
| Vanguard Global ex created five year return of -4.0% | |
| This fund keeps 95.55% of its net assets in stocks |
Check out Vanguard Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Global Correlation, Vanguard Global Hype Analysis, Vanguard Global Volatility, Vanguard Global History as well as Vanguard Global Performance. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
The market value of Vanguard Global ex is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.