Voc Energy Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.97
| VOC Stock | USD 4.96 0.02 0.40% |
VOC |
VOC Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 2.97
The tendency of VOC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.97 or more in 90 days |
| 4.96 | 90 days | 2.97 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VOC Energy to drop to $ 2.97 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This VOC Energy Trust probability density function shows the probability of VOC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VOC Energy Trust price to stay between $ 2.97 and its current price of $4.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.51 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon VOC Energy has a beta of 0.2. This entails as returns on the market go up, VOC Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VOC Energy Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VOC Energy Trust has an alpha of 0.1573, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VOC Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VOC Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VOC Energy Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VOC Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VOC Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VOC Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VOC Energy Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VOC Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
VOC Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VOC Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VOC Energy Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 14th of November 2024 VOC Energy paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
VOC Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VOC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VOC Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VOC Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 M |
VOC Energy Technical Analysis
VOC Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VOC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VOC Energy Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing VOC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VOC Energy Predictive Forecast Models
VOC Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many VOC Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VOC Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VOC Energy Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about VOC Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VOC Energy Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 14th of November 2024 VOC Energy paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Check out VOC Energy Backtesting, VOC Energy Valuation, VOC Energy Correlation, VOC Energy Hype Analysis, VOC Energy Volatility, VOC Energy History as well as VOC Energy Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VOC Energy. If investors know VOC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VOC Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 0.78 | Revenue Per Share 0.926 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets 0.6595 |
The market value of VOC Energy Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VOC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VOC Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VOC Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VOC Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VOC Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VOC Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VOC Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VOC Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.