Veolia Environnement (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.13
| VVD Stock | 27.85 0.22 0.78% |
Veolia |
Veolia Environnement Target Price Odds to finish below 28.13
The tendency of Veolia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 28.13 after 90 days |
| 27.85 | 90 days | 28.13 | about 18.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Veolia Environnement to stay under 28.13 after 90 days from now is about 18.02 (This Veolia Environnement SA probability density function shows the probability of Veolia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Veolia Environnement price to stay between its current price of 27.85 and 28.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Veolia Environnement SA has a beta of -0.28. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Veolia Environnement are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Veolia Environnement SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Veolia Environnement SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Veolia Environnement Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Veolia Environnement
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Veolia Environnement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Veolia Environnement's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Veolia Environnement Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Veolia Environnement is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Veolia Environnement's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Veolia Environnement SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Veolia Environnement within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Veolia Environnement Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Veolia Environnement for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Veolia Environnement can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Veolia Environnement generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Veolia Environnement Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Veolia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Veolia Environnement's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Veolia Environnement's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 601.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12 B |
Veolia Environnement Technical Analysis
Veolia Environnement's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Veolia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Veolia Environnement SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Veolia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Veolia Environnement Predictive Forecast Models
Veolia Environnement's time-series forecasting models is one of many Veolia Environnement's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Veolia Environnement's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Veolia Environnement
Checking the ongoing alerts about Veolia Environnement for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Veolia Environnement help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Veolia Environnement generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Veolia Stock Analysis
When running Veolia Environnement's price analysis, check to measure Veolia Environnement's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Veolia Environnement is operating at the current time. Most of Veolia Environnement's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Veolia Environnement's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Veolia Environnement's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Veolia Environnement to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.