Wix (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.11

W1IX34 Stock  BRL 46.00  1.00  2.22%   
Wix's future price is the expected price of Wix instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wix performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wix Backtesting, Wix Valuation, Wix Correlation, Wix Hype Analysis, Wix Volatility, Wix History as well as Wix Performance.
  
Please specify Wix's target price for which you would like Wix odds to be computed.

Wix Target Price Odds to finish below 17.11

The tendency of Wix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to R$ 17.11  or more in 90 days
 46.00 90 days 17.11 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wix to drop to R$ 17.11  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wix probability density function shows the probability of Wix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wix price to stay between R$ 17.11  and its current price of R$46.0 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wix has a beta of 0.58. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wix average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wix will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wix has an alpha of 0.6878, implying that it can generate a 0.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wix Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.3445.0048.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.9848.6452.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wix. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wix's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wix's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wix.

Wix Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wix, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
6.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Wix Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wix for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wix can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wix appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 781.08 M.

Wix Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding57.3 M

Wix Technical Analysis

Wix's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wix. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wix Predictive Forecast Models

Wix's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wix's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wix's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wix

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wix for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wix help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wix appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 781.08 M.

Other Information on Investing in Wix Stock

Wix financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wix Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wix with respect to the benefits of owning Wix security.