Warner Bros Discovery Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.49
| WBD Stock | USD 10.61 0.01 0.09% |
Warner |
Warner Bros Target Price Odds to finish below 12.49
The tendency of Warner Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 12.49 after 90 days |
| 10.61 | 90 days | 12.49 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Warner Bros to stay under $ 12.49 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Warner Bros Discovery probability density function shows the probability of Warner Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Warner Bros Discovery price to stay between its current price of $ 10.61 and $ 12.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.6 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Warner Bros has a beta of 0.24. This entails as returns on the market go up, Warner Bros average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Warner Bros Discovery will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Warner Bros Discovery has an alpha of 0.4312, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Warner Bros Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Warner Bros
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Warner Bros Discovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Warner Bros Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Warner Bros is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Warner Bros' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Warner Bros Discovery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Warner Bros within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Warner Bros Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Warner Bros for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Warner Bros Discovery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Warner Bros had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Warner Bros has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Warner Bros Discovery has 47.28 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.07, which is OK given its current industry classification. Warner Bros Discovery has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Warner to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 41.32 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.13 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 13.43 B. | |
| About 64.0% of Warner Bros outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: WBD INVESTOR ALERT Bronstein, Gewirtz Grossman LLC Announces that Warner Bros. ... |
Warner Bros Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Warner Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Warner Bros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Warner Bros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 B |
Warner Bros Technical Analysis
Warner Bros' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Warner Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Warner Bros Discovery. In general, you should focus on analyzing Warner Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Warner Bros Predictive Forecast Models
Warner Bros' time-series forecasting models is one of many Warner Bros' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Warner Bros' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Warner Bros Discovery
Checking the ongoing alerts about Warner Bros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Warner Bros Discovery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Warner Bros had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Warner Bros has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Warner Bros Discovery has 47.28 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.07, which is OK given its current industry classification. Warner Bros Discovery has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Warner to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 41.32 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.13 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 13.43 B. | |
| About 64.0% of Warner Bros outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: WBD INVESTOR ALERT Bronstein, Gewirtz Grossman LLC Announces that Warner Bros. ... |
Check out Warner Bros Backtesting, Warner Bros Valuation, Warner Bros Correlation, Warner Bros Hype Analysis, Warner Bros Volatility, Warner Bros History as well as Warner Bros Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Interactive Home Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Warner Bros. If investors know Warner will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Warner Bros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.267 | Earnings Share (4.58) | Revenue Per Share 16.182 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Warner Bros Discovery is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Warner that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Warner Bros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Warner Bros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Warner Bros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Warner Bros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Warner Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Warner Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Warner Bros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.