Webtoon Entertainment Common Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.97

WBTN Stock   12.28  0.26  2.16%   
WEBTOON Entertainment's future price is the expected price of WEBTOON Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WEBTOON Entertainment Common performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WEBTOON Entertainment Backtesting, WEBTOON Entertainment Valuation, WEBTOON Entertainment Correlation, WEBTOON Entertainment Hype Analysis, WEBTOON Entertainment Volatility, WEBTOON Entertainment History as well as WEBTOON Entertainment Performance.
  
At this time, WEBTOON Entertainment's Price Fair Value is very stable compared to the past year. Please specify WEBTOON Entertainment's target price for which you would like WEBTOON Entertainment odds to be computed.

WEBTOON Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 11.97

The tendency of WEBTOON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  11.97  or more in 90 days
 12.28 90 days 11.97 
about 78.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WEBTOON Entertainment to drop to  11.97  or more in 90 days from now is about 78.98 (This WEBTOON Entertainment Common probability density function shows the probability of WEBTOON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WEBTOON Entertainment price to stay between  11.97  and its current price of 12.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.93 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.64 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, WEBTOON Entertainment will likely underperform. Additionally WEBTOON Entertainment Common has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   WEBTOON Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WEBTOON Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WEBTOON Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WEBTOON Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.8712.0316.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8915.0519.21
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.3126.7129.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.020.040.12
Details

WEBTOON Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WEBTOON Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WEBTOON Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WEBTOON Entertainment Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WEBTOON Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.64
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

WEBTOON Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WEBTOON Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WEBTOON Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WEBTOON Entertainment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (144.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SOFTBANK GROUP CORP. Acquires Significant Stake in Pacific Biosciences of California Inc

WEBTOON Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WEBTOON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WEBTOON Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WEBTOON Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding127.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments251.6 M

WEBTOON Entertainment Technical Analysis

WEBTOON Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WEBTOON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WEBTOON Entertainment Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing WEBTOON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WEBTOON Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

WEBTOON Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many WEBTOON Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WEBTOON Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WEBTOON Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about WEBTOON Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WEBTOON Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WEBTOON Entertainment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (144.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SOFTBANK GROUP CORP. Acquires Significant Stake in Pacific Biosciences of California Inc
When determining whether WEBTOON Entertainment offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of WEBTOON Entertainment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Webtoon Entertainment Common Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Webtoon Entertainment Common Stock:
Is Printing and Publishing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WEBTOON Entertainment. If investors know WEBTOON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about WEBTOON Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.18)
Revenue Per Share
11.851
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.001
The market value of WEBTOON Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WEBTOON that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of WEBTOON Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is WEBTOON Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because WEBTOON Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect WEBTOON Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WEBTOON Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WEBTOON Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WEBTOON Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.