Wcm Focused Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 14.11

WCMFX Fund  USD 12.80  0.11  0.87%   
Wcm Focused's future price is the expected price of Wcm Focused instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wcm Focused Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wcm Focused Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wcm Focused Correlation, Wcm Focused Hype Analysis, Wcm Focused Volatility, Wcm Focused History as well as Wcm Focused Performance.
  
Please specify Wcm Focused's target price for which you would like Wcm Focused odds to be computed.

Wcm Focused Target Price Odds to finish over 14.11

The tendency of Wcm Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.11  or more in 90 days
 12.80 90 days 14.11 
about 51.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wcm Focused to move over $ 14.11  or more in 90 days from now is about 51.63 (This Wcm Focused Small probability density function shows the probability of Wcm Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wcm Focused Small price to stay between its current price of $ 12.80  and $ 14.11  at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This entails Wcm Focused Small market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Wcm Focused is expected to follow. Additionally Wcm Focused Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wcm Focused Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wcm Focused

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wcm Focused Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9312.8014.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1913.0614.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8811.7413.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.1114.2415.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wcm Focused. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wcm Focused's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wcm Focused's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wcm Focused Small.

Wcm Focused Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wcm Focused is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wcm Focused's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wcm Focused Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wcm Focused within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Wcm Focused Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wcm Focused for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wcm Focused Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wcm Focused Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund keeps about 5.26% of its net assets in cash

Wcm Focused Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wcm Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wcm Focused's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wcm Focused's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Wcm Focused Technical Analysis

Wcm Focused's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wcm Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wcm Focused Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wcm Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wcm Focused Predictive Forecast Models

Wcm Focused's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wcm Focused's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wcm Focused's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wcm Focused Small

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wcm Focused for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wcm Focused Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wcm Focused Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund keeps about 5.26% of its net assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Wcm Mutual Fund

Wcm Focused financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wcm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wcm with respect to the benefits of owning Wcm Focused security.
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