Weichai Power Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 12.39
| WEICYDelisted Stock | USD 11.26 0.16 1.40% |
Weichai |
Weichai Power Target Price Odds to finish over 12.39
The tendency of Weichai Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 12.39 or more in 90 days |
| 11.26 | 90 days | 12.39 | about 28.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Weichai Power to move over $ 12.39 or more in 90 days from now is about 28.86 (This Weichai Power probability density function shows the probability of Weichai Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Weichai Power price to stay between its current price of $ 11.26 and $ 12.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Weichai Power has a beta of 0.22. This entails as returns on the market go up, Weichai Power average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Weichai Power will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Weichai Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Weichai Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Weichai Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weichai Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Weichai Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Weichai Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Weichai Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Weichai Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Weichai Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Weichai Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Weichai Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Weichai Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Weichai Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Weichai Power is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Weichai Power has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Weichai Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Weichai Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Weichai Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weichai Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.7 B |
Weichai Power Technical Analysis
Weichai Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Weichai Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Weichai Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Weichai Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Weichai Power Predictive Forecast Models
Weichai Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Weichai Power's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Weichai Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Weichai Power
Checking the ongoing alerts about Weichai Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Weichai Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Weichai Power is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Weichai Power has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Weichai Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Weichai Power check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Weichai Power's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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