Amundi SP (Germany) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 12.69
| WELJ Etf | 14.57 0.14 0.97% |
Amundi |
Amundi SP Target Price Odds to finish below 12.69
The tendency of Amundi Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 12.69 or more in 90 days |
| 14.57 | 90 days | 12.69 | about 55.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amundi SP to drop to 12.69 or more in 90 days from now is about 55.36 (This Amundi SP Global probability density function shows the probability of Amundi Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amundi SP Global price to stay between 12.69 and its current price of 14.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amundi SP has a beta of 0.0858. This entails as returns on the market go up, Amundi SP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amundi SP Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amundi SP Global has an alpha of 0.3322, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amundi SP Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Amundi SP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi SP Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amundi SP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amundi SP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amundi SP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amundi SP Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amundi SP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
Amundi SP Technical Analysis
Amundi SP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amundi Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amundi SP Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amundi Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amundi SP Predictive Forecast Models
Amundi SP's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amundi SP's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amundi SP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Amundi SP in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Amundi SP's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Amundi SP options trading.