West Fraser Timber Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 95.01

WFG Stock  USD 93.01  0.48  0.52%   
West Fraser's future price is the expected price of West Fraser instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of West Fraser Timber performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out West Fraser Backtesting, West Fraser Valuation, West Fraser Correlation, West Fraser Hype Analysis, West Fraser Volatility, West Fraser History as well as West Fraser Performance.
  
At this time, West Fraser's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The West Fraser's current Price To Book Ratio is estimated to increase to 1.25, while Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to increase to (40.45). Please specify West Fraser's target price for which you would like West Fraser odds to be computed.

West Fraser Target Price Odds to finish below 95.01

The tendency of West Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 95.01  after 90 days
 93.01 90 days 95.01 
about 52.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of West Fraser to stay under $ 95.01  after 90 days from now is about 52.12 (This West Fraser Timber probability density function shows the probability of West Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of West Fraser Timber price to stay between its current price of $ 93.01  and $ 95.01  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.47 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon West Fraser has a beta of 0.76. This entails as returns on the market go up, West Fraser average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding West Fraser Timber will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally West Fraser Timber has an alpha of 0.0155, implying that it can generate a 0.0155 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   West Fraser Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for West Fraser

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West Fraser Timber. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.4693.1794.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.71104.71106.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.4588.1689.87
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
104.65115.00127.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as West Fraser. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against West Fraser's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, West Fraser's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in West Fraser Timber.

West Fraser Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. West Fraser is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the West Fraser's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold West Fraser Timber, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of West Fraser within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.76
σ
Overall volatility
3.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.0073

West Fraser Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of West Fraser for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for West Fraser Timber can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.45 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (167 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.56 B.
About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: West Fraser Timber Announces 0.32 Quarterly Dividend for 2025, Maintains Shareholder Returns - StockTitan

West Fraser Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of West Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential West Fraser's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. West Fraser's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments900 M

West Fraser Technical Analysis

West Fraser's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. West Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of West Fraser Timber. In general, you should focus on analyzing West Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

West Fraser Predictive Forecast Models

West Fraser's time-series forecasting models is one of many West Fraser's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary West Fraser's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about West Fraser Timber

Checking the ongoing alerts about West Fraser for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for West Fraser Timber help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.45 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (167 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.56 B.
About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: West Fraser Timber Announces 0.32 Quarterly Dividend for 2025, Maintains Shareholder Returns - StockTitan
When determining whether West Fraser Timber is a strong investment it is important to analyze West Fraser's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact West Fraser's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding West Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Paper & Forest Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of West Fraser. If investors know West will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about West Fraser listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Dividend Share
1.24
Earnings Share
(1.15)
Revenue Per Share
77.23
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
The market value of West Fraser Timber is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of West that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of West Fraser's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is West Fraser's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because West Fraser's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect West Fraser's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between West Fraser's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if West Fraser is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, West Fraser's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.