Weatherford International Plc Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.00

WFTUFDelisted Stock  USD 1.00  0.39  63.93%   
Weatherford International's future price is the expected price of Weatherford International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Weatherford International Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
  
Please specify Weatherford International's target price for which you would like Weatherford International odds to be computed.

Weatherford International Target Price Odds to finish below 1.00

The tendency of Weatherford Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1.00 90 days 1.00 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Weatherford International to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Weatherford International Plc probability density function shows the probability of Weatherford Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Weatherford International Plc has a beta of -6.04. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Weatherford International Plc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Weatherford International is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Weatherford International Plc has an alpha of 3.9027, implying that it can generate a 3.9 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Weatherford International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Weatherford International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weatherford International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Weatherford International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.001.001.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.750.751.10
Details

Weatherford International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Weatherford International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Weatherford International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Weatherford International Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Weatherford International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.90
β
Beta against Dow Jones-6.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Weatherford International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Weatherford International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Weatherford International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Weatherford International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Weatherford International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Weatherford International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Weatherford International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Weatherford Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Weatherford International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weatherford International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments910 M

Weatherford International Technical Analysis

Weatherford International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Weatherford Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Weatherford International Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Weatherford Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Weatherford International Predictive Forecast Models

Weatherford International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Weatherford International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Weatherford International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Weatherford International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Weatherford International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Weatherford International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Weatherford International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Weatherford International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Weatherford International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Weatherford Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Weatherford International check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Weatherford International's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes