Wealthbuilder Growth Allocation Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.23

WGAFX Fund  USD 13.55  0.06  0.44%   
Wealthbuilder Growth's future price is the expected price of Wealthbuilder Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wealthbuilder Growth Allocation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wealthbuilder Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wealthbuilder Growth Correlation, Wealthbuilder Growth Hype Analysis, Wealthbuilder Growth Volatility, Wealthbuilder Growth History as well as Wealthbuilder Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Wealthbuilder Growth's target price for which you would like Wealthbuilder Growth odds to be computed.

Wealthbuilder Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 13.23

The tendency of Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 13.23  in 90 days
 13.55 90 days 13.23 
about 36.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wealthbuilder Growth to stay above $ 13.23  in 90 days from now is about 36.21 (This Wealthbuilder Growth Allocation probability density function shows the probability of Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wealthbuilder Growth price to stay between $ 13.23  and its current price of $13.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wealthbuilder Growth has a beta of 0.56. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wealthbuilder Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wealthbuilder Growth Allocation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wealthbuilder Growth Allocation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wealthbuilder Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wealthbuilder Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wealthbuilder Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0413.5514.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9513.4613.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.0713.5914.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2413.3713.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wealthbuilder Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wealthbuilder Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wealthbuilder Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wealthbuilder Growth.

Wealthbuilder Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wealthbuilder Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wealthbuilder Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wealthbuilder Growth Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wealthbuilder Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Wealthbuilder Growth Technical Analysis

Wealthbuilder Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wealthbuilder Growth Allocation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wealthbuilder Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Wealthbuilder Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wealthbuilder Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wealthbuilder Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Wealthbuilder Growth in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Wealthbuilder Growth's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Wealthbuilder Growth options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund

Wealthbuilder Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wealthbuilder with respect to the benefits of owning Wealthbuilder Growth security.
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