Winmark Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 264.75
| WINA Stock | USD 407.63 2.86 0.70% |
Winmark |
Winmark Target Price Odds to finish below 264.75
The tendency of Winmark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 264.75 or more in 90 days |
| 407.63 | 90 days | 264.75 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Winmark to drop to $ 264.75 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Winmark probability density function shows the probability of Winmark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Winmark price to stay between $ 264.75 and its current price of $407.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.21 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Winmark will likely underperform. Additionally Winmark has an alpha of 0.1251, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Winmark Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Winmark
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Winmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Winmark Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Winmark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Winmark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Winmark, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Winmark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Winmark Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Winmark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Winmark can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Winmark is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Winmark has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 2nd of December 2024 Winmark paid $ 8.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Estimating The Fair Value Of Winmark Corporation |
Winmark Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Winmark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Winmark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Winmark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.4 M |
Winmark Technical Analysis
Winmark's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Winmark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Winmark. In general, you should focus on analyzing Winmark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Winmark Predictive Forecast Models
Winmark's time-series forecasting models is one of many Winmark's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Winmark's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Winmark
Checking the ongoing alerts about Winmark for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Winmark help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Winmark is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Winmark has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 2nd of December 2024 Winmark paid $ 8.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Estimating The Fair Value Of Winmark Corporation |
Check out Winmark Backtesting, Winmark Valuation, Winmark Correlation, Winmark Hype Analysis, Winmark Volatility, Winmark History as well as Winmark Performance. For information on how to trade Winmark Stock refer to our How to Trade Winmark Stock guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Winmark. If investors know Winmark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Winmark listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 3.4 | Earnings Share 10.92 | Revenue Per Share 23.323 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Winmark is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Winmark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Winmark's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Winmark's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Winmark's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Winmark's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Winmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Winmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Winmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.