Wolfden Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.00

WLFFF Stock  USD 0.04  0.01  21.57%   
Wolfden Resources' future price is the expected price of Wolfden Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wolfden Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wolfden Resources Backtesting, Wolfden Resources Valuation, Wolfden Resources Correlation, Wolfden Resources Hype Analysis, Wolfden Resources Volatility, Wolfden Resources History as well as Wolfden Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Wolfden Resources' target price for which you would like Wolfden Resources odds to be computed.

Wolfden Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of Wolfden Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.00 
about 10.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wolfden Resources to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.82 (This Wolfden Resources probability density function shows the probability of Wolfden Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wolfden Resources price to stay between $ 0.00  and its current price of $0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wolfden Resources has a beta of -17.46. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Wolfden Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Wolfden Resources is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Wolfden Resources has an alpha of 24.164, implying that it can generate a 24.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wolfden Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wolfden Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wolfden Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0452.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0352.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00080.04136.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.020.020.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wolfden Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wolfden Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wolfden Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wolfden Resources.

Wolfden Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wolfden Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wolfden Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wolfden Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wolfden Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
24.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-17.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Wolfden Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wolfden Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wolfden Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wolfden Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wolfden Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Wolfden Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Wolfden Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (4.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Wolfden Resources has accumulated about 2.29 M in cash with (4.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Wolfden Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wolfden Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wolfden Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wolfden Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152.8 M

Wolfden Resources Technical Analysis

Wolfden Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wolfden Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wolfden Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wolfden Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wolfden Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Wolfden Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Wolfden Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wolfden Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wolfden Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wolfden Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wolfden Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wolfden Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wolfden Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Wolfden Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Wolfden Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (4.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Wolfden Resources has accumulated about 2.29 M in cash with (4.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Wolfden Pink Sheet

Wolfden Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wolfden Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wolfden with respect to the benefits of owning Wolfden Resources security.